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	<title>The New Contrarian &#187; Richard Holbrooke</title>
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		<title>Caution in Pakistan</title>
		<link>http://newcontrarian.com/2009/04/22/caution-in-pakistan/</link>
		<comments>http://newcontrarian.com/2009/04/22/caution-in-pakistan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2009 17:56:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Damir Marusic</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[On War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Richard Holbrooke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yglesias]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.newcontrarian.com/?p=4348</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I suspect Matt&#8217;s always thought that Pakistan is the more important half of the Af-Pak clusterfuck, and today he comes out and says it. I&#8217;ve been beating around that bush for a while now too. Recently, however, I&#8217;ve been pondering the possibility that too much involvement in Pakistan might be a mistake as well. I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I suspect Matt&#8217;s always thought that Pakistan is the more important half of the Af-Pak clusterfuck, and today he comes out and <a href="http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2009/04/pakistani-taliban-on-the-move.php">says it</a>. I&#8217;ve been <a href="http://www.newcontrarian.com/?p=3728">beating</a> <a href="http://www.newcontrarian.com/?p=3755">around</a> that <a href="http://www.newcontrarian.com/?p=4113">bush</a> for a while now too. Recently, however, I&#8217;ve been pondering the possibility that too much involvement in Pakistan might be a mistake as well.</p>

<p>I just finished carefully re-reading John Lukacs&#8217; <a href="http://www.newcontrarian.com/?p=4113">sketch of George Kennan</a> last night and was struck  anew by Kennan&#8217;s prescient calls to prudence in international relations, his conviction that most problems in the world are by their very nature too complicated to be &#8220;solved&#8221; in any meaningful way, and his counsel, therefore, that America be extremely selective in its engagements.</p>

<p>Remaking Afghanistan certainly doesn&#8217;t reach Kennan&#8217;s threshold for American involvement. One is tempted to wonder whether Pakistan does either. It&#8217;s not that the stakes aren&#8217;t high—nuclear weapons in a failed state are about as high as they can get. It&#8217;s that the paucity of our policy options and leverage is matched with a frightful lack of insight as to what&#8217;s happening on the ground, which makes the further improvement of our options seem unlikely. Indeed, the situation is so fluid and murky that even Pakistani journalists close to the events <a href="http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/world/2009/04/19/gps.ahmed.rashid.intv.cnn">seem to be baffled</a> by each new turn. It&#8217;s not that we shouldn&#8217;t concern ourselves with Pakistan, Kennan might say, but that we should be very hesitant about just &#8220;doing something&#8221; lest we muck it up more.</p>
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